The Indian Met department predicts that on Tuesday, heavy rain will return to North India after a brief respite caused by severe disruption and flooding. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) stated on Sunday that an increase in rainfall activity is anticipated over northwest India starting on July 25. Over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and Rajasthan, isolated areas are likely to see heavy rainfall.
Northwest India experienced 318.8 mm, or 40% more precipitation, from 1 June to 23 July. Only East Uttar Pradesh, though, falls into IMD’s category for rainfall deficiency because of the region’s 29% below-average rainfall during the same time period.
Up until Thursday, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and East Rajasthan may experience light to moderate but generally widespread showers; from Tuesday to Thursday, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh may experience the same; on Tuesday and Wednesday, West Rajasthan may experience the same; and on Wednesday and Thursday, Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Muzaffarabad may experience the same. This is due to the fact that the active monsoon trough is running south of where it should be, and that its western end may progressively move north during the following two to three days.
In anticipation of extremely heavy rainfall totaling more than 204.4 mm in Gujarat and Central Maharashtra today, the met office has issued a red alert for these areas. Central Maharashtra has been put on orange alert from Monday to Thursday because rainfall in seven districts, including Palghar, Thane, and Raigad, is expected to range from 115.6 mm to 204.4 mm.
IMD has advised to avoid regions prone to water logging and to keep away from vulnerable structures because it anticipates localised flooding during this forecast.
On Tuesday, it’s forecast to rain heavily in Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Kerala, and Mahe (in Puducherry).
Over coastal Karnataka on Sunday and Monday, over south interior Karnataka, Kerala, and Mahe today, over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam (also in Puducherry) on Tuesday and Wednesday, and over Telangana from Tuesday to Thursday, there is a chance of isolated, extremely heavy rains.
It is unlikely that there will be much rain over the next five days in East and Northeast India, which still has a 23% shortfall in rainfall from 1 June to 23 July.
