After the announcement of election dates by the Election Commission on 26 February the ABP C-Voter released a survey of exit poll which has forecasted benefit for BJP in Assam, TMC in West Bengal, LDF in Kerala and DMK in Tamil Nadu.
Total five states and UTs are going to have their assembly polls in these three months. The states and UTs include West Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry.
Here are the details of what the exit-poll ABP C-Voter has predicted for the states:
According to ABP C-Voter exit poll in West Bengal TMC led by West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is going to score 148-164 seats in the 294 member assembly, which means a hat-trick for the Bengal Chief Minister Banerjee. The poll further stated that BJP may get 92-108 seats whereas, Congress and Left Front may get 31-39 seats.
In Tamil Nadu, the AIADMK-led NDA alliance is set for a jolt with only 58-66 seats. The DMK-led UPA alliance is expected to win 154-162 seats.
This survey comes at a time when AIADMK-BJP and DMK-Congress are in talks for seat sharing arrangement.
Actor-politician Kamal Haasan’s Makkal Needhi Maiam is predicted to win 2-6 seats. In all, the other parties are projected to win 58-66 seats.
In 2016, AIADMK alliance, without the BJP, swept the elections with 136 seats. The DMK was reduced to just 98 seats, with Congress winning just 8. This was also AIADMK supremo J Jayalalithaa and DMK supremo M Karunanidhi’s last state elections.
In Kerala the Left Democratic Front (LDF) is likely to return to power in Kerala, the ABP C-Voter survey suggested. CPI(M)-led LDF may win a simple majority by winning between 83-91 seats in the 140-member assembly. The Congress-led UDF might get restricted to 47-55 seats.
The BJP, meanwhile, may win just two seats at the most.
In 2016, the UDF got 47 seats and LDF won after gaining a majority of 91 seats.
Whereas, in Assam the ABP C-Voter pre-poll survey predicted that the BJP-led NDA alliance is set to return to power with at least 72 seats. The alliance is also expected to secure 43 percent vote share.
The Congress-led UPA is predicted to win 47 seats with 41 percent vote share.
In 2016, NDA won 74 seats while Congress won 26 seats.
As per the election schedule West Bengal is going to have elections in eight phases, meanwhile in three phases in Assam and on a single day in Kerala, Puducherry and Tamil Nadu. The results for all of them would be announces on May 2.